{"id":34,"date":"2026-05-31T22:43:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-31T22:43:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/footballdeepdive.com\/?p=34"},"modified":"2026-05-31T22:43:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T22:43:09","slug":"what-xg-can-and-cannot-tell-you","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/footballdeepdive.com\/?p=34","title":{"rendered":"What xG Can and Cannot Tell You"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sample analysis: xG assigns a probability to each shot based on factors known before the shot is taken.<\/p>\n<h2>What the Model Actually Measures<\/h2>\n<p>Sample analysis: PSxG incorporates placement and speed, separating shot quality from finishing quality.<\/p>\n<h2>Post-Shot xG: The Honest Metric<\/h2>\n<p>Sample analysis: over a handful of games, xG noise dominates signal. Over a season, it converges.<\/p>\n<h2>The Sample Size Trap<\/h2>\n<p>This is placeholder analysis copy for layout testing. Replace this sample article with your own writing from the WordPress editor, or remove all samples in one click from Appearance \u2192 Demo Content.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sample analysis: xG assigns a probability to each shot based on factors known before the shot is taken. What the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[20],"analysis-type":[],"football-league":[],"class_list":["post-34","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-data","tag-xg"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What xG Can and Cannot Tell You - Football Deep Dive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/footballdeepdive.com\/?p=34\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What xG Can and Cannot Tell You - Football Deep Dive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Sample analysis: xG assigns a probability to each shot based on factors known before the shot is taken. 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